با همکاری انجمن ژئوپلیتیک ایران

نوع مقاله : مقالات علمی -پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشگاه یاسوج

2 دانشگاه یزد

3 دانشگاه اصفهان

چکیده

رفتار انتخاباتی به بررسی شیوه رفتار احزاب و نامزدهای انتخاباتی و نیز رای دهندگان و نحوه تعامل میان آنها در خلال انتخابات می­پردازد. رفتار انتخاباتی یکی از شاخصه­های مهم ارزیابی میزان حاکم بودن فرهنگ دموکراتیک در کشورها محسوب می­شود. در ایران رفتار انتخاباتی افراد در حوزه­های جغرافیایی مختلف با یکدیگر تفاوت دارد. این تفاوت هم بین شهر و روستا و هم بین مناطق دارای فرهنگ طایفه­ای با مناطق دارای فرهنگ غیرطایفه ای وجود دارد. سؤال محوری پژوهش حاضر این است که فرهنگ عشیره­ای و طایفه­ای چه تأثیری بر رفتار انتخاباتی روستائیان حوزه انتخابیه دنا دارد؟ طبق فرضیات تحقیق «بین فرهنگ عشیره­ای- طایفه­ای و رفتار انتخاباتی روستائیان رابطه معناداری وجود دارد». همچنین «بین نخبگان طایفه­ای و رفتار انتخاباتی روستائیان رابطه معناداری وجود دارد». روش تحقیق در این پژوهش به شیوه پیمایشی است. جامعه آماری این پژوهش را روستائیان شهرستان دنا تشکیل می­دهند. روش جمع آوری داده­ها به صورت نمونه گیری اتفاقی ساده و حجم نمونه با استفاده از فرمول کوکران 250 نفر بود که با استفاده از نرم افزار spss تجزیه و تحلیل شدند. یافته های پژوهش نشان داد بین فرهنگ طایفه­ای – عشیره‌ای، نخبگان قومی-طایفه­ای و رفتار انتخاباتی رابطه معناداری وجود دارد. به گونه­ای که تغییر در فرهنگ طایفه­ای–عشیره­ای و نخبگان قومی ‌و عشیره­ای در رفتار انتخاباتی روستاییان شهرستان دنا تغییر ایجاد می­کند یعنی با افزایش در شاخص فرهنگ طایفه­­ای – عشیره­­ای و نخبگان قومی، شاخص رفتار انتخاباتی روستاییان شهرستان دنا کاهش می­یابد. لذا می­توان روستاهای شهرستان دنا را همانند «شهرهای طایفه­ای» در نظر گرفت و مدعی شد که دیدگاه نخبگان قومی ‌و عشیره‌ای می‌تواند پیش‌بینی­کننده مناسبی برای رفتار انتخاباتی در آنها باشد.

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