Analysis of Key Drivers Affecting the Spatial Distribution of Infrastructure in Khorasan Razavi Province with an Approach of Future Studies, With an Emphasis on Passive Defense

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

• Seyyed Hadi Azami ¹
• Akbar Heidari Tahekaboud ²
• Hossein Rostami ³

¹ Associate Professor in Political Geography, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran

² Assistant Professor in Geography and Urban Planning, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran

³ Master of Geography, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran

https://doi.org/10.22067/pg.v4i2.83986

Abstract

Abstract
Today, the spatial analysis of infrastructure in the light of security and defense considerations and using approaches such as futuristic studies and the Geographic Information System (GIS), has fundamental importance in the field of decision-making, appropriate planning in defense planning studies, recognizing the current situation and creating a favorable situation. Therefore, the aim of this study is to identify the effective drivers of spatial distribution of infrastructure in Khorasan Razavi province with emphasis in passive defense approach and the use of Spatial Futurology studies in the context of GIS. Descriptive-analytical, library-documentary studies and statistical surveys were used in the framework of model and software analysis (Mikmak and Scenario Wizard). The results showed that according to the total research indicators, vulnerable zones in Khorasan Razavi province are distinguishable in five areas in the form of zones with very high vulnerability (7.33%), high (16.52%), moderate (29.78), low (16.94%), and very low (29.4%). Also, according to the obtained results, the density and dispersion patterns of the infrastructures of the studied area have been concentrated and clustered and randomly correlated, respectively. Meanwhile, factors such as legal criteria-policy-making, infrastructure-institutional factors, etc., were identified as key drivers of the spatial distribution of the province's infrastructure, and accordingly, future models can be achieved in three groups of scenarios with desirability. High (green status), acceptable (yellow status) and crisis (red status) were presented. Finally, suggestions were made to increase the infrastructure of Khorasan Razavi province.

Keywords

• Spatial Futurology
• passive defense
• Regional Infrastructure
• Defense Planning
• Khorasan Razavi

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