نوع مقاله : مقالات علمی -پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 استادیار اقتصاد دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز، اهواز، ایران
2 استادیار گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه جامع امام حسین، تهران، ایران
3 کارشناسی ارشد جغرافیا و برنامهریزی گردشگری، دانشگاه خوارزمی، تهران، ایران
چکیده
امروزه گردشگری تبدیل به یک صنعت بزرگ و در حال رشد در جهان شده است. سهم قابل توجه صنعت گردشگری و وابستگی فزاینده اقتصادها به درآمد آن، تجزیه و تحلیل دقیق عوامل و گرایشهای اساسی این صنعت را ضروری می سازد. نهادها، هنجارهای رسمی و غیررسمی هستند که چگونگی رفتار افراد با یکدیگر را تعیین می‌کنند و ریسک سیاسی و کیفیت نهادی به عنوان نهادهای یک جامعه میتوانند از طریق هزینههای گردشگری بر صنعت گردشگری تاثیرگذار باشند. در این مطالعه، تأثیر کیفیت نهادی و ریسک سیاسی بر گردشگری در قالب چندین الگوی جاذبه توسعه یافته، که به ابزاری استاندارد برای تحلیل جریان تجارت/گردشگری تبدیل شده است، مورد بررسی قرار میگیرد. روش تحقیق توصیفی - تحلیلی و با بهرهگیری از دادههای پانل و روش رگرسیونی انجام شده است. جامعه آماری شامل مطالعه 19 کشور منا طی دوره زمانی 2008 تا 2019 است. نتایج تحقیق نشان میدهد که اثر کیفیت نهادی و ریسک سیاسی بر توسعه گردشگری در کشورهای منا مثبت و معنادار است. همچنین در بین چند الگوی جاذبه مطالعه، روش برآوردگر پواسون شبه راست نمایی دارای بالاترین ضریب تعیین و قدرت توضیح دهندگی است.
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